NHL | Must-Haves | 1/10/17

Roman Josi (DK: $5,800 FD: $6,100): Josi is one of the better defenders in the league, with coveted offensive prowess and ability. Priced well below premium rates, and with a dearth of value defenders on the slate (although Jaccob Slavin (DK: $4,100 FD: $4,400) is a nice cheaper option), we’re locking in Josi in one of the best matchups on the slate. Heavily favored, Nashville is poised to take advantage of the soft matchup against Vancouver’s 20th ranked defense and their starting goalie Ryan Miller who has never posted a save percentage above 93% in his career for a season. Josi has a solid floor to go along with offensive upside on the top power play unit (the Canucks penalty kill also ranks 20th), as he blocks 1.6 shots per game, and has recorded 121 shots on the season (22nd in the NHL). At home the Predators score 2.95 goals per game (tied for 12th) and Vancouver is the 6th worst road defense, allowing 3.16 goals per game. Ryan Ellis’s (DK: $4,200 FD: $4,700) return to the lineup paired with Josi provides additional scoring potential for Josi, whose shot percentage this year is below that of his career rate (indicating upcoming positive regression to the mean). Lock Josi in as a dependable defender with scoring upside to start your lineups off tonight.

 

Ryan Kesler (DK: $6,900 FD: $7,100): Dallas presents an exploitable matchup tonight, with the Ducks’ power play unit standing out for their potential given the Stars’ league-worst penalty kill that stops just 74.3% of opposing power plays. Skating on the Ducks top line with the productive Jakob Silfverberg (DK: $6,200 FD: $5,900) – a nice option to pair him with for a mini-stack – and centering the top power play unit gives Kesler variety of quality scoring chances, which he’s proven adept at finishing. His 15 power play points lead the team and rank 8th in the NHL. This season, Kesler has logged 99 shots on goal, third most on the Ducks, and while his shooting percentage is higher than it will likely end the season at, his opportunities to score tonight are high given the soft penalty kill, 5.5 over/under with the Ducks favored, and the fact that Dallas is playing their second game in as many days.

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