The standard 12-team fantasy football draft isn’t that difficult to figure out. Just look at the NFL Odds offered by major sportsbooks and the manner in which people bet, and you will realize that most sports fans have a keen understanding of the NFL.
They know that depth should be emphasized instead of drafting starters, and that value that falls should be prioritized instead of reaching.
But maybe these tidbits of sense are not nearly as common as some people like to think, in which case anyone trying to take a fresh crack at the fantasy football draft should know that different positions should be approached differently.
For instance, with quarterbacks, it is all about playing with supply and demand while also looking at potential outcomes. The goal is to draft a player late and then hit it big when that player turns out to be worthy of a higher pick.
Now that automatically eliminates players like Tom Brady from consideration because their second round picks tend to offset most of the huge upside they typically boast. That doesn’t mean you should take chances on Drew Brees, Russell Wilson, and their ilk either, not when they lack stability.
Rather, you are better off trying your hand at someone that will be drafted outside the top 12 such as Derek Carr or even Mathew Stafford.
Of course, you cannot apply that same logic to running backs. In the case of RBs, you need to focus on stockpiling in the case of injuries. With RBs having been responsible for 21 out of 25 of the top fantasy seasons by non-Quarterbacks in recent times, you cannot afford to fumble with this position.
You need to look for a 230-point RB season. That means looking for 300 or more touches. You need running backs that get starter-type carries. That is what makes them valuable.
You also need to focus on options with weekly roles. Analysts would probably mention the likes of Antonio Brown, Jay Ajayi, LeSean McCoy and DeMarco Murray, especially if they are paired with notable wide receivers like A.J Green, Michael Thomas and Jordy Nelson.
Do not let the hype get to you. Any running back that is obviously incapable of reaching 300 touches should be ignored. If you do not care for complicated strategies, just know you shouldn’t ignore starting RBs. They are very valuable. It will also help your cause if you have as many RBs as possible. They are very valuable in fantasy football.
When it comes to wide receivers, do not let their constant fluctuations worry you. Sure, the fluctuations make it difficult to choose WRs based on stats from their previous seasons. But fluctuations can be positive or negative.
And positive fluctuations will help your cause. Just focus on TDs as the deciding factor. It will work in your favor if you have receivers playing alongside QBs that throw a lot of TDs.
Tight Ends are a little more complicated, though not by much. Most people will probably ask you to watch Jordan Reed, Travis Kelce, and Greg Olsen because their average draft positions are so high, in which case your options might come down to a non-late value sixth round pick like Tyler Eifert.
Rob Gronkowski always gets considerable interest here and the fact that he had a healthy offseason has increased his value. You can trust him to potentially outscore every other tight end.
As always, remember that waiting until late will work in your favor.
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