This week’s fight card comes to us from Australia, and if you have followed along here at DFI, we typically suggest for our readers to play lightly on international cards because of the oddities that tend to happen. However, this card looks pretty solid from top to bottom. So even if you choose to play less than normal on this event, it is still worth getting excited for from a fan stand-point. Make sure you play our Must-Haves, and check out the War Room for last-minute lineup construction advice and answers to your questions.
DFI Top Play
Fabricio Werdum (DK: $9,300): Werdum by rights, is a Must-Have for us, but we moved him onto the DFI portion of the articles because of the current situation he is going through with Colby Covington. Earlier this week, Werdum attacked Covington and either hit him or threw a boomerang at him. The details aren’t really clear, but one thing to pay attention to in respect to fantasy this weekend is making sure Werdum is not pulled from the card due to legal reasons. We feel that he should be good to go for Saturday, but it is worth keeping an eye on. On paper, both fighters appear to be very similar; decent volume on their strikes with good striking defense. However, Werdum has faced a much higher level of competition and has shown to be very successful. Tybura will want to keep this fight standing because Werdum has such a huge edge on the ground, and with Tybura having 80% takedown defense matched against Werdum’s 31% takedown success, he may be able to keep it standing. Werdum’s boxing has improved as of late, and as long as he doesn’t hold his chin high when attacking like he did in the Miocic fight, he should be able to hold his own and rack up a decent amount of points in the process.
DFI Value Play
Alex Chambers (DK: $7,900): Muhammad will definitely be the value play with the most ownership, and while we do like him, we like Chambers as a lesser-owned play. Chambers is a decent fighter that is very good on the ground and is fighting Nadia Kassem, who is very unproven. Kassem is 4-0 with 4 KOs but has faced competition that is a combined 0-10. We are concerned with Chambers’ really bad striking defense, getting hit with 5.83 strikes per minute, and the prospect that Kassem is a knockout striker versus lesser competition. However, for her price, we think it is a chance worth taking on this slate. In multi-entry formats, it would be a good decision to take both sides on this fight because if Kassem wins it will likely be by stoppage.
Parlay: Benoit/Shelton/Werdum/Brooks/Volkanovski +237
Daniel Kelly +275 (if you want a longshot, not really recommended but it will be closer than +275)
DISCLAIMER: Copyright Daily Fantasy Insider LLC (DFI LLC). All rights reserved. This report has been prepared and issued by Daily Fantasy Insider LLC for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. DFI LLC is not responsible for any losses sustained. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Daily Fantasy Insider LLC at the time of publication.