Khris Davis (DK: $4,900 FDuel: $4,600): Our first Must-Have of the day might just be the hottest hitter in baseball at the moment as he has four homeruns in his last 10 at-bats. Khris Davis will travel to Arlington, Texas where he has historically mashed the ball to the tune of a .333 average, .843 SLG%, and 1.243 OPS across 108 at-bats. Davis also has 15 homeruns at Rangers ballpark as well as 32 RBIs. The hot-hitting Khris Davis will run into Drew Smyly who has started the season off struggling mightily to right-handed hitters, allowing a .441 xwOBA and .291 xISO with a disastrous 6.98 xFIP. Smyly throws his fastball over 60% of the time which Davis has mashed over the past two years with a .402 xwOBA and .262 xISO. “Khrush” Davis is in a fantastic spot tonight and we highly recommend locking him into your lines for his sky-high upside!
Jurickson Profar (DK: $3,900 FDuel: $3,100): For those of you who love revenge narratives, Profar will be returning to Texas tonight to feast on his old team. While Profar has started off the season slowly with a .177 batting average, he is crushing the ball against left-handed pitching and is just simply getting unlucky as his expected numbers are much higher than his actual numbers. We are seeing positive regression come his way as he has five hits in his last 13 at-bats including two homeruns. We listed above the struggles that Smyly has had against right-handed bats this season, and we do not expect this to change against Profar who sports a .255 xISO to left-handed pitching this season. Smyly is also susceptible to the stolen base since he allowed 18 attempts on the base paths in his last full season in 2016. Profar stole 10 bases successfully in 2018 and has two already this year. With a 57% hard contact given up by Smyly and Profar’s recent resurgence at the plate, we love the value he provides in the matchup and he is an absolute lock for us alongside Khris Davis!
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