George Hill (DK: $4,000): During these one game slates DraftKings has gone to six-man rosters for contests. Because of this change, most players’ salaries have increased by quite a bit, yet George Hill’s remains around where it was all season. Hill has pretty limited upside, but should play 30-35 minutes, so he has a reasonable floor. Ultimately, whether LeBron underperforms or not, you’ll likely need him in your lineups tonight to cash. George Hill is one of the few viable options on the slate that’s under 6k, so he helps you to roster LeBron and other expensive players. He will spend most of the game being defended by Terry Rozier, who is an average NBA defender. It won’t take much for George Hill to hit value at his price point, but you’ll need to look for upside from your other five slots to go with him.
LeBron James (FDuel: $20,000): It is crazy that LeBron is $20k, but with the way FanDuel’s single-game boost contests are designed, the top line almost always has the highest scoring player, regardless of their salary. Even if LeBron underachieves and goes for 50 fantasy points, that’s 75 fantasy points for the MVP slot. The only other player who could conceivably go for 50 fantasy points would be Terry Rozier and that’s a ceiling game for him. LeBron’s ceiling game could be 120 fantasy points in the MVP slot. King James has a history of bouncing back in Game 2 after losses. Against Indiana this year, LeBron went for 46/12/5 after dropping Game 1. In 2017, when Cleveland lost Game 1 to Golden State in the finals, LeBron went for 29/11/14 in Game 2. He’s quite a cerebral player and he knows that going down 0-2 in the series would be a huge hole to climb out of. A lot of talk has been made about Marcus Morris’ defense of LeBron, but in the two regular season matchups that Morris guarded LeBron, he scored 24 points and dished 10 assists in 55 guarded possessions. We project him to play around 80 possessions tonight, so if you extrapolated those rates, he would score around 35 points and collect 14 assists. We believe that LeBron’s Game 1 dud was an outlier, but will definitely cause his ownership to decrease. It also helps that you can afford LeBron if you pair him with cheap value plays like George Hill, Tristan Thompson and Aron Baynes. Tonight is not a night where you need to be balanced to win.
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