Nathan MacKinnon (DK: $8,300 FD: $8,800): At this point, you’re probably thinking to yourself, “MacKinnon, again?”. But yes, Nathan MacKinnon, once again. MacKinnon finds himself in a smash spot tonight playing against a team that many people tend to avoid as the Avs host the Caps tonight. Typically for DFS, teams target Caps players, not players against the Caps, but since the All-Star break, the Washington Capitals have been so bad that the script has flipped. Since the break the Capitals are allowing four goals per game, while Colorado averages 3.5 goals per game. Braden Holtby has been subpar as of late, ranking 54th out of 60 goalies in goals saved average and has a high danger save percentage of sub .800 since the start of 2020. But it’s not all Holtby’s fault. The Capitals have been horrendous defensively as a team, ranking 29th in expected goals against per 60 minutes at 5v5, and 31st in high danger chances against. Where the Capitals have struggled sufficiently is against opposing teams’ centers. Over the last four weeks, the Capitals are giving up 1.67 goals, 2.56 assists and 11.11 shots per game to centers. MacKinnon leads the Avs in shots, expected goals, scoring chances and high danger chances at 5v5 this season and that shouldn’t change tonight. With Colorado having an implied total of 3.4 goals tonight, we suggest you pay up and lock MacKinnon in.
Blake Coleman (DK: $6,200 FD: $4,600): The New Jersey Devils have the pleasure of hosting the Detroit Red Wings tonight, as one bad team takes on one really bad team. Blake Coleman has been the knight in shining armor for the Devils this season with 21 goals, but has really poured it on with nine goals since January 1st (16 games), the 9th-most in the league. While many may think Coleman’s recent scoring is a fluke, we tend to disagree. Since January 1st, Coleman ranks 8th in high danger chances and 5th in expected goals. Going up against Detroit tonight, Coleman should have plenty of opportunities to find the back of the net. The Red Wings are giving up 3.71 goals per game this season and its not due completely to poor goalie play. Since January 1st at 5v5 play, the Wings rank 21st in expected goals against and 25th in high-danger chances against. The defense has allowed teams to get in close and create havoc around the net, creating a problem for whoever is in goal. Coleman comes very well priced, especially on FanDuel tonight, and with his recent uptick in shots, 73 since 1/1 (3rd most over that span), he comes with a high floor and even a great chance at the DraftKings shot bonus. What is really nice about Coleman is that he is deadly the entire game. His nine goals over the last 16 games consists of five even strength goals, a power play goal and three short handed goals. We don’t want to jinx anything, but he could potentially score a hatty tonight with a goal at every strength (knock on wood). The Devils have one of the higher implied totals tonight at 3.1 goals and we suggest you lock Coleman in.
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