Emil Forsberg (DK: $9,400): Sweden draw one of the most favorable matchups of the slate against a weak Luxembourg side that has conceded more than two goals per game in qualifying so far. Sweden sit in second in the group and need to maintain that spot or move up in order to advance. One of Sweden’s set piece takers, Ludwig Augustinsson, was injured last week and will most likely use this international break to regain health. This provides additional value to Forsberg’s high floor as he should see a greater amount of set pieces. We hope that the familiarity of some of the Belgium names will draw ownership at a high price, while they are on the road in a much tougher matchup, and have little to play for as they have already secured the top spot in their group. In his last two games for Sweden, Forsberg shot more than five times per game, and with this week’s matchup, he looks likely to repeat that stat. Sweden have been solid offensively too, scoring more than two goal per match, with Forsberg himself notching four goals and an assist so far. He is the perfect combination of floor in upside and we are locking him in as our first Must-Have of the slate.
Konstantine Vassiljev (DK: $6,600): Our second Must-Have of the slate also looks to benefit from a great matchup. Estonia face Gibraltar, a team that has conceded more than four and a half goals per game on average during qualifying. In the first leg between these two teams, Estonia had twenty-three goal attempts and ended up winning 4 – 0. His value in part depends on who he starts with, but Vassiljev contributes through crosses on set pieces, as well as getting himself in goalscoring opportunities. He should see ample opportunities to contribute to the scoresheet, justifying his price that is not super low. If he starts, he is one of the higher-floor players with similar upside to the rest of his team. This is an opportunity to snag a lesser-known guy who is still in a great matchup and could help you in both cash and GPP contests.
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